Friday, March 23, 2007

Matt Schaub to Houston

I really needed some time to digest this move and pick the Web's collective brain for thoughts. There's still not much out there, but I think I've finally got my brain wrapped around it.

This is just another matter of keeping "HOU QB" at about the same slot you originally had him at. It actually pains me to say this because if I throw out my common sense, I have high hopes for the guy. The season before last, I had Crumpler on one of my teams and Schaub's starts always produced a ton of points for me!

But in Houston, he won't find the O-line, running game, or receiving corp he had with the Falcons. I've read he's LESS mobile than Carr, which could lead to more sacks.

Still, he's worth taking a late round flyer on. At the very least, he could provide a spark that gets Houston's O moving in the right direction (down the field), at least early in the season. There are some who want to say this is like when GB traded for Favre. Naturally, I disagree. I think it's more like when CAR got Delhomme, who was previously a backup with New Orleans.

Andre Johnson is still the only WR worth drafting; he doesn't move up much, if at all, either.

Owen Daniels is still an intriguing TE, but no more.

I'm hesitant to speak on the effect this could have on Mike Vick. It would involve some sort of psychological analysis and that's not exactly in the realm of 'common sense'. Sorry!

Friday, March 16, 2007

Eagles sign Kevin Curtis; AOL Fanhouse blogger thinks it's the greatest thing since sliced bread

Hey, I like Kevin Curtis. He was a nice little receiver for the Rams and filled in admirably for Isaac Bruce back in the '05-'06 season. And yes, he stays healthy, while Donte' Stallworth does not. Of course, it's easy to stay healthy when you're really a #3.

But this article clearly forgets about the presence of one Reggie Brown, who's been in the Eagles' system for a few years now. Curtis, on the other hand, is more familiar with the Mike Martz "Greatest Show on Turf" way of doing business.

Curtis IS a definite upgrade over Todd Pinkston, meaning for the first time in, like ever, you've got 2 Philly WRs worth drafting. Still, you HAVE to be careful when a WR jumps from occasionally going against a nickel- or dime-back to regularly going against a starting DB.

Moves like this usually work out during the season where you don't have time to reflect on your promotion, but seem to flop between seasons when the WRs have a chance to sit back and bask in their newfound starter status. Drew Bennett and Nate Burleson, anyone?

Sunday, March 11, 2007

Thank goodness the Pats signed Stallworth!!!

It gives me something to talk about besides Detroit signing TJ Duckett. Cuz if it had just been that, I really didn't have anything. Just a story about how for a couple years, I drafted TJ in the middle rounds, figuring Warrick Dunn would get hurt and the little bugger never did. So last year I drafted Dunn and he had a couple of good games and started sucking; I eventually packaged him with Ocho Cinco for Marion Barber III and Reggie Brown (the league was unfairly weighted towards TDs).

Oh, you want analysis? Ummm... well.... they must not trust the goalline skills of Tatum Bell. I KNOW they don't trust the goalline skills of Kevin Jones; I saw last year he had none.

Stallworth gives Brady a much more reliable target than Reche 'Bugged out eyes and dropped passes' Caldwell, provided he can stay healthy. The guy KILLED one of my teams last year the week he went down in San Fran and I was nowhere near a PC to switch him out.

Another winner would be Reggie Brown in Philly. He played really well while Donte' was down, even while McNabb was still the QB.

Friday, March 9, 2007

Droughns to the G-Men, Rhodes to Oaktown

I'm a Giants fan so I try not to draft Giants.

Oh, you care about YOUR team? Okay, well, Jacobs will still probably vulture the goalline opportunities. The O-line lost their best player, Luke Petitgout, first to injury, then to free agency (he always got called for holding anyway; good riddance!). Droughns isn't a threat to catch the ball out of the backfield. Assuming you promoted Jacobs thinking he'd be a feature back, move him back to where he was last year. Droughns can probably move up a spot or 3.

Rhodes could be useful early on as Lamont Jordan returns from injury. But you're not going to waste even a mid-round pick on someone who's only useful early on, right? Don't forget, he's now a RAIDER!

The big winner in all this is Joseph Addai, natch.

Randy McMichael to the Rams

He'll be reunited with Scott Linehan, who coached him in Miami. Scott has a good history of working with TEs. Once he left Minnesota, Jermaine Wiggins became useless from a fantasy perspective.

Sadly, this means new Miami coach Cam Cameron will have to look elsewhere for his 'new' Antonio Gates.

Pay no attention to the men behind the curtain

There are a few more moves to talk about, but not in the way you'd expect. Forget the moves for the time being. Let's just talk about the teams and positions.

The Ravens have a new starting RB; call him "BAL RB 1".

The Browns MAY have a new starting RB (or he may be part of a committee). Still, let's call him "CLE RB 1".

The Falcons have a new WR; you guessed it, call him "ATL WR 1". While we're at it, let's also call their QB "ATL QB 1".

Now, if you take your draft rankings and replace names with teams and positons, can any of you, using common sense, tell me that "BAL RB 1", "CLE RB 1", "ATL WR 1" and even "ATL QB 1" deserve to move up your draftboards? Are the new ones THAT much better than the old ones? More to the point of this blog, would drafting the new ones make you feel a LOT less stupid than drafting the old ones?

Okay, let's make it real. Willis McGahee was on the decline on Buffalo. People seem to think Baltimore's got a great O-line b/c of the name of Jonathan Ogden, but he's getting old. Steve McNair is STILL the QB and is STILL one play away from turning over the reins to Kyle Boller. Is McGahee THAT much of an upgrade over Jamal Lewis? This article agrees with me. Therefore, I like it and the author. This article somewhat agrees with me, but gets slightly more optimistic. Finally, there's this article which fellates McGahee so hard I'm wondering if he's angling to become Willis' next 'baby momma'.

Speaking of Jamal, is he THAT much better than Reuben Droughns, considering the mess that is Cleveland?

Finally, we've got Joe Horn going to Atlanta. Even IF he stays healthy, what does common sense tell you about how a #1 WR fares in Atlanta with Vick as the QB? He probably won't fare too well, right? Joe Horn is NOT going to make Mike Vick a more accurate passer. Maybe Vick'll throw more passes to him and less to Crumpler, but maybe he won't. We have no idea what kind of offense Bobby Petrino is going to install. This move doesn't help OR hurt Horn or Vick one bit.

The only losers in all this are probably "BUF QB 1" and "BUF WR 1".... err.... JP Losman and Lee Evans. Without a solid RB to keep opposing D's honest, their productivity could take a major hit. Still, it's early in free agency and the draft is still like a month away.

Tuesday, March 6, 2007

It's all so cloudy to me now

As a counterpoint to the previous post, some committees just got worse.

Travis Henry goes to Denver to join the Bells and Mike Shanahan (who probably still includes recently deceased Damien Nash in the committee, which is, admittedly, a perversely morbid yet logical extension of the 'anyone can get 1000 yards in Denver' belief). Draft any of these guys at your own risk.

UPDATE: Tatum Bell is now in Detroit, who may also sign Chris Brown. As such, Travis MAY have an edge over Mike Bell who, from where I sit, was inconsistent last season.

Travis leaves behind a committee in Tennessee consisting of Chris Brown and LenDale White (for now).

Ahman Green goes to Houston, joining Domanick Davis (I forget his new last name and I don't feel like looking it up), Samkon Gado and Ron Dayne. Not that you'd draft any Houston players outside of Andrew Johnson, right?

It's all so clear to me now

Two RB-by-committee situations just evaporated rather nicely today, assuming the trade goes through. Chicago sends Thomas Jones to the Jets and hands their starting gig to Cedric Benson. The Jets HAVE to hand their starting gig to Jones, don't they?

You now have to tier both these guys in the same tier as Edgerrin James, Rudi Johnson and Willie Parker.

Okay, maybe not Edgerrin James. I said that just to rile up my one reader who commented on the last post :)

Friday, March 2, 2007

SAT flashback

Is this statement true or false:

Nate Burleson is to Marques Colston as Amos Zeroue / Kevan Barlow is to Laurence Maroney

I bring this up because of two notable releases today. The Saints released Joe Horn and the Pats released Corey Dillon.

These two moves no doubt caused every single FFB writer out there to rush to their keyboards, get hard, ejaculate and move Colston and Maroney up up UP their WR rankings (maybe not in that order).

Now, you already know from this post, that I think Marques Colston WILL be the next Nate Burleson. I'm not saying don't draft the guy in the same tier as Tory Holt and Reggie Wayne (drafting him in the same tier as Marvin Harrison and Terrell Owens is flat out non-common-sensical). But if you can swing a deal soon after involving him where you maybe upgrade at another position and 'downgrade' a bit at WR, I say go for it.

So the first part of the word association is true. What about the second part? Well, I think it's false. Maroney will now get the goal line carries that Dillon vultured last year. And despite Kevin Faulk sticking around as the third down back, Maroney should post great numbers this year, enough for third or even second tier status. I haven't tiered players yet so I'm not sure where he'll land but he's gotta go in the same tier as Willie Parker, Edgerrin James and Rudi Johnson.