Wednesday, November 7, 2007

The smell of fall is in the air...

And so is the smell of desperation coming from the 'experts'. Specifically, I'm talking about all of them desperate to find the next hot RB to recommend be plucked from the waiver wire. I'm hearing names like Justin Fargas, Ron Dayne (who's ON A BYE THIS WEEK), that other guy in Houston who has a very long name (and is also on a bye), Priest Holmes, Priest Holmes' backup (or is Holmes the backup there? Very confusing) and... Michael Pittman.

My favorite quote was actually a Pittman quote, 'cleverly' disguised as a Kevin Faulk quote, from Rotoworld's Pancake Blocks: "Kevin Faulk - A poor man’s Michael Pittman. You know what you are going to get and can always hope for a Maroney injury." If you scan down to the comments, you'll see that this humble blogger attempted to show Gregg the error of his ways :).

In other 'around the web' news, I think the reason I haven't actually... you know... been 'going around the web' is that all the 'experts' have fallen into their routines, which I identified over a month ago. You've got the guys who upgrade players who had one good week (and vice versa), the guys who want to be Deadspin commenters and then the rest who actually make decent points.

So, let's try something different. Let's recognize any attempt by these guys to 'break form'. Here we go...

East Coast Offense checks in with this item that parrots what I've been saying since day 1:
(Regarding Adrian Peterson) But it also made everyone who drafted or traded for Peterson this year feel like geniuses. (I feel like an idiot because I traded Peterson and Kevin Jones for LaDainian Tomlinson and Calvin Johnson in a league two weeks ago). A good rule of thumb is that when something amazing happens, more people feel like idiots than geniuses, and rightly so, because idiots will always outnumber geniuses.

Actually, he's only ALMOST got it right; the truth is you'll only FEEL like an idiot if you put yourself in a position to LOOK LIKE one. The solution is simple: don't make idiotic trades (and when in doubt, don't trade at all!). Sure, you may spend a Sunday or three muttering under your breath about 'the deal you should have made', but no one else knows it was possible (even the guy on the other end has most likely moved on). If you lose and don't make any idiotic trades, chances are you'll appear unlucky (unless you also drafted idioticly). But if you DID make those trades, you WILL appear like an idiot. I guess the worst case is first you drafted badly and then you make bad trades. In this case, you may want to pick a new hobby. Okay, I'm rambling... time for more kudos.

Bringin' the Noise has a decent treatise on why drafting a bunch of QBs in 2008 may not be the best idea. Here's a hint: there are still a bunch of good RBs that won't be in committees next year and you'll probably start at least 2 RBs (but 1 QB)in most of your leagues. Good job, Noise-guy!

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